S/00Scorecard Scale
S/01Sample Scorecard // Neodymium

Neodymium

A sample scorecard for Neodymium-Praseodymium (NdPr). The rare-earth alloy behind guided weapons, electric drivetrains, and wind generators. Six checkpoints between the ground in California and a finished magnet on a missile fin.

Overall grade

Tier 4.
Foreign-dependent.

Domestic mining is intact. Domestic separation is thin. Domestic magnet capacity is just opening. The 2027 ban on Chinese-sourced magnets in defense systems is approaching faster than the chain can rebuild.

Subject
Neodymium-Praseodymium
Auditor
Maden Atlas
Issued
2026.05.06
Revision
R-014
S/02Node Audit

Six checkpoints. Each scored independently.

001Origin // Mine
1 of 1Operating rare-earth mines in the United States

Mountain Pass, California. MP Materials extracts bastnäsite ore from the same pit Molycorp shut down in 2002 and restarted in 2018 after Chinese investors exited.

Risk

Single-point dependence. A fire, flood, or labor stoppage cuts domestic ore to zero overnight.

002Refine // Separate
~85%China's share of global rare-earth separation capacity

Separating mixed concentrate into individual rare-earth oxides is the bottleneck. MP Materials began on-site separation at Mountain Pass in 2023. No other domestic line is operating at scale.

Risk

Disruption sends US-mined concentrate to China for processing, defeating the point of mining at home.

003Magnet // Sinter
~92%China's share of global sintered-magnet output

Sintered magnets are the end product. The United States lost domestic capacity in the 1990s. MP Magnetics opened the first new plant in decades in Fort Worth in 2024. E-VAC Magnetics received a $111M federal award for a second plant in Sumter, South Carolina.

Risk

Output is an order of magnitude below defense program demand. Most magnets in current systems are still Chinese.

004Comply // 2027 ban
Jan 2027Effective date of the rare-earth magnet prohibition

The 2024 defense authorization bars the Department of Defense from buying permanent magnets containing rare earths mined, refined, or sintered in China, Russia, North Korea, or Iran. Programs are clearing through legacy magnet stocks today.

Risk

The trigger arrives before domestic supply is ready to backfill. A near-term gap is likely.

005Stockpile // Reserve
RebuildingNational Defense Stockpile rare-earth reserves, post-2020

The Defense Logistics Agency keeps the National Defense Stockpile and resumed rare-earth purchases after 2020 following decades of drawdown. Current depth sits below the level required to bridge a sustained disruption at full program tempo.

Risk

The stockpile cannot substitute for a domestic chain. It buys months, not years.

006Audit // Sub-tier
Tiers 4–5Where Chinese processing enters US defense programs

Most prime contractors have visibility through their first three supplier tiers. The fourth and fifth tiers — where Chinese rare-earth processing typically enters — are opaque. Foreign exposure surfaces only on direct audit.

Risk

Programs reporting domestic sourcing may carry Chinese exposure four or five tiers deep, undetected until contract review.

This is a sample. Atlas issues live scorecards on the materials your program actually depends on.Grades reflect the overall material chain. They do not assess the quality, capacity, or surge readiness of the firms named.

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